The U.S. housing market lost additional momentum in July as rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high home prices discouraged prospective buyers from moving forward with purchases. Existing-home sales declined for the second consecutive month, reinforcing concerns that affordability continues to prevent a stronger housing recovery even as demand remains present in many parts of the country.
American consumers are once again feeling the effects of rising living costs as higher gasoline prices and climbing mortgage rates place additional strain on household finances. After several months of modest improvements in affordability, renewed increases in energy prices are creating ripple effects throughout the economy, making everything from commuting to purchasing a home more expensive.
The U.S. housing market continues to navigate a challenging environment as elevated mortgage rates, cautious buyers, and slowing home construction create fresh obstacles for an industry that has struggled to regain momentum. While inventory has improved in many markets compared to the past few years, affordability remains the dominant issue, leaving both builders and prospective homeowners searching for signs of relief.
Many prospective homebuyers continue asking the same question: When will mortgage rates finally begin to move lower? While many people look to the Federal Reserve for answers, housing economists say the better indicator is often the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Although the Fed plays an important role in shaping the broader economy, mortgage rates tend to follow movements in long-term Treasury yields much more closely than changes in the federal funds rate.
Investor enthusiasm surrounding the future of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac encountered a reality check this week after investment firm BTIG downgraded both companies to a neutral rating, citing growing uncertainty surrounding their long-awaited exit from government conservatorship. The move reflects increasing concern among analysts that meaningful progress toward privatization may take longer than many investors had anticipated.
Last month, the U.S. Senate confirmed the appointment of Mark A. Calabria as director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Calabria, who was nominated by President Donald Trump in December, was confirmed on a 52-44 vote. The vote went along party lines, with the 52 affirming votes coming from all Republicans and all 44 no votes coming from Democrats.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have programs that provide refinance options for borrowers whose loan-to-value ration on a new mortgage would exceed the maximum allowed for standard limited no cash-out refinances. The programs were announced last year in conjunction with the end of the the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP).
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Freddie Mac’s asset and income modeler (AIM) is now available for self-employed borrowers through Loan Product Advisor, the company’s automated underwriting system (AUS). Freddie Mac said in a statement that its offering is on the only AUS-integrated solution in the industry that can assess self-employed income.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) published a mortgagee letter last month that provides guidance on the use of third-party verification (TPV) services to verify a borrower’s employment, income, and asset information. The guidance applies to all FHA Title II forward mortgages and Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECM).
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae has revised downward its forecast for first-quarter economic growth as well as home sales and purchase mortgage originations. Fannie’s February economic forecast includes a prediction of 1.7 percent annualized economic growth during the first quarter of 2019. That’s down 0.1 percent from its previous forecast. It’s also well below the 2.8 percent growth Fannie expects to be reported for the fourth quarter of 2018.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae expects the Federal Reserve to limit itself to one rate hike in 2019, which it says will help home sales stabilize this year. In its recently released January Economic and Housing Outlook, Fannie said it expects mortgage rates to hover around the 4.5 percent mark, where they ended 2018. It also predicts slower house price appreciation of 4.2 percent in 2019, compared with 5.5 percent in 2018.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae has released guidance on selling and servicing policies impacted by the federal government shutdown that began before Christmas. Fannie said in a letter to lenders that the guidance is based on the assumption that the shutdown will be temporary. Once the shutdown is over, the policies covered in the letter will expire immediately. Fannie also said that it may provide additional guidance if the shutdown lasts for a prolonged period.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
What can mortgage processors and underwriters expect in 2019? According to housing experts, overall home sales should increase next year, but there are areas of concern. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said home sales should “modestly increase” in 2019, provided that economic growth remains stable and mortgage rates stay below 5.25 percent.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released a proposed rule to validate and approve third-party credit score models used by Fannie and Freddie Mac. The proposal is required by Section 310 of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act enacted in May.
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The biggest question facing the mortgage industry heading into 2019 is whether current negative housing trends will continue or if the market will resume modest growth. That’s the question posed by Freddie Mac in its recently released November Forecast.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.