Mortgage rates surged this week, marking their highest point in nearly two months and adding fresh pressure on an already fragile spring homebuying season. The spike, driven largely by rising bond yields and escalating market uncertainty, is threatening to sideline more prospective buyers just as the housing market was showing signs of modest recovery.
As the U.S. housing market slows under the weight of high interest rates and shrinking affordability, major banks are lobbying regulators for a revamp of mortgage rules they say are outdated and overly restrictive. Industry leaders argue that simplifying the current framework could ease lending bottlenecks and bring more borrowers back into the market—especially first-time buyers and lower-income households. The push comes as home sales continue to slump and mortgage originations sit well below historical norms.
A sharp uptick in mortgage delinquencies among first-time homebuyers is raising red flags for the housing industry, particularly for borrowers using government-backed loans. These trends suggest that some of the most financially vulnerable homeowners are increasingly struggling to stay current on their payments, amplifying concerns about affordability, inflation, and broader market risk.
The Trump administration’s revived plan to privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is stoking fresh debate in Washington and on Wall Street, with experts warning that such a move could push mortgage rates higher and pose new challenges for homebuyers across the country. At the heart of the discussion lies a pivotal question: Can the U.S. housing market handle a shift away from government-backed mortgage guarantees?
The U.S. homebuilding sector found a modest silver lining in former President Donald Trump’s latest wave of tariff announcements. While much of the construction industry braces for higher costs, one crucial material—Canadian lumber—was notably spared from additional duties. That exemption, however, isn’t enough to ease broader concerns across the housing market, where rising costs and slowing demand are already testing builders' limits.
Housing experts continue to forecast a busy rest of the year for mortgage processors and underwriters. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released forecasts last week indicating that a strong economy, healthy labor market and low mortgage rates will keep the housing market steady for the remainder of 2019.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Last month, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) announced changes to underwriting requirements to mitigate high-risk mortgage applications. The agency has updated its Technology Open to Approved Lenders (TOTAL) mortgage scorecard “to manage the decrease in average borrower credit scores and the excessive risk layering that results when multiple risk factors are present.”
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Last month, the U.S. Senate confirmed the appointment of Mark A. Calabria as director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Calabria, who was nominated by President Donald Trump in December, was confirmed on a 52-44 vote. The vote went along party lines, with the 52 affirming votes coming from all Republicans and all 44 no votes coming from Democrats.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have programs that provide refinance options for borrowers whose loan-to-value ration on a new mortgage would exceed the maximum allowed for standard limited no cash-out refinances. The programs were announced last year in conjunction with the end of the the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP).
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Freddie Mac’s asset and income modeler (AIM) is now available for self-employed borrowers through Loan Product Advisor, the company’s automated underwriting system (AUS). Freddie Mac said in a statement that its offering is on the only AUS-integrated solution in the industry that can assess self-employed income.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) published a mortgagee letter last month that provides guidance on the use of third-party verification (TPV) services to verify a borrower’s employment, income, and asset information. The guidance applies to all FHA Title II forward mortgages and Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECM).
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Fannie Mae has revised downward its forecast for first-quarter economic growth as well as home sales and purchase mortgage originations. Fannie’s February economic forecast includes a prediction of 1.7 percent annualized economic growth during the first quarter of 2019. That’s down 0.1 percent from its previous forecast. It’s also well below the 2.8 percent growth Fannie expects to be reported for the fourth quarter of 2018.
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Fannie Mae expects the Federal Reserve to limit itself to one rate hike in 2019, which it says will help home sales stabilize this year. In its recently released January Economic and Housing Outlook, Fannie said it expects mortgage rates to hover around the 4.5 percent mark, where they ended 2018. It also predicts slower house price appreciation of 4.2 percent in 2019, compared with 5.5 percent in 2018.
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Fannie Mae has released guidance on selling and servicing policies impacted by the federal government shutdown that began before Christmas. Fannie said in a letter to lenders that the guidance is based on the assumption that the shutdown will be temporary. Once the shutdown is over, the policies covered in the letter will expire immediately. Fannie also said that it may provide additional guidance if the shutdown lasts for a prolonged period.
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What can mortgage processors and underwriters expect in 2019? According to housing experts, overall home sales should increase next year, but there are areas of concern. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said home sales should “modestly increase” in 2019, provided that economic growth remains stable and mortgage rates stay below 5.25 percent.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.