Fannie Mae’s latest outlook suggests that mortgage rates may remain higher for longer than many had anticipated, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and ongoing economic uncertainty. The revised expectations highlight the challenges facing the housing market as borrowers continue to navigate elevated borrowing costs alongside limited housing supply.
Hopes for near-term interest rate cuts are fading as recent inflation data shows renewed signs of persistence, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path forward. While earlier expectations had pointed toward potential easing this year, the latest economic readings suggest policymakers may need to keep borrowing costs elevated longer than anticipated.
Five-year mortgage rates have surged past the 5% threshold as geopolitical tensions tied to a major international conflict continue to ripple through global financial markets. The sharp rise in borrowing costs has created new challenges for homeowners and prospective buyers, underscoring how quickly geopolitical developments can influence domestic housing affordability.
A recent strategy involving mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced a brief decline in mortgage rates, but the improvement proved short-lived as questions about implementation dampened market momentum. The episode underscores how sensitive mortgage pricing is to both policy signals and execution clarity in a housing market already facing affordability strain.
A proposed rule from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is drawing intense concern from housing advocates, public housing authorities, and families living in mixed-status households, who argue that the change could destabilize thousands of families and increase the risk of homelessness. The proposal would tighten eligibility standards for federally assisted housing in a way that critics believe would effectively bar households containing any ineligible members from receiving rental assistance, even if other members qualify.
While recent bank failures have created economic uncertainty, they have had little effect on the outlook for the housing and mortgage industries. In its latest Economic and Housing Outlook, Fannie Mae’s economists said they already expected economic contraction in 2023 prior to failures of Silicon Vally Bank and others.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced last week that it is delaying the implementation of a new upfront fee for certain borrowers with a debt-to-income ratio above 40 percent. FHFA said the decision to delay was made because of feedback from the mortgage industry about operational challenges of implementing the ratio-based fee.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Several new rules and proposed rules affecting mortgage processors and underwriters were announced in the past several weeks. The most significant of these was the recent announcement by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) to reduce mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) by 30 basis points on FHA-insured mortgages.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae’s earnings fell sharply in the fourth quarter of 2022 and for the full year, reflecting the challenges faced in the mortgage industry. Meanwhile, Freddie Mac cancelled its earnings announcement that was scheduled for February 15. A new reporting date has not been announced.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be releasing new cash-out refinance eligibility policies over the next two months. Fannie Mae announced its updated policy in a Selling Guide announcement last week. The new policy requires that any existing first mortgage being paid off through the transaction be at least 12 months old as measured from the note date of the existing loan to the note date on the new loan.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will reduce the upfront fee for commingled securities that was instituted in July 2022. FHFA announced the fee would be reduced to 9.375 basis points, effective April 1, 2023. The fee is currently 50 basis points.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The three nationwide consumer reporting agencies (NCRAs) are providing better responses to complaints, but many problems remain related to the accuracy of consumer data. That is according to an annual report released last week by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). The bureau is required by law to submit an annual report about complaints submitted by consumers regarding the three NCRAs: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Federal Reserve Board recently adopted a final rule to identify and implement replacement rates for LIBOR. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac also announced last week their replacement rates for legacy LIBOR products. LIBOR, formerly known as the London Interbank Offered Rate, was the dominant benchmark rate used in financial contracts for decades, including adjustable rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae is updating its automated underwriting system to help potential borrowers who lack a credit score. Fannie said in its announcement that the enhancements will “help historically underserved borrowers access credit,” especially Black and Latino/Hispanic people who are disproportionately credit invisible.
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The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) will soon allow home buyers obtaining an FHA-insured mortgage to use private flood insurance. The provision is effective December 21, 2022. A Mortgagee Letter published last week provides implementation guidelines for FHA-approved lenders.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.