The U.S. housing market lost additional momentum in July as rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high home prices discouraged prospective buyers from moving forward with purchases. Existing-home sales declined for the second consecutive month, reinforcing concerns that affordability continues to prevent a stronger housing recovery even as demand remains present in many parts of the country.
American consumers are once again feeling the effects of rising living costs as higher gasoline prices and climbing mortgage rates place additional strain on household finances. After several months of modest improvements in affordability, renewed increases in energy prices are creating ripple effects throughout the economy, making everything from commuting to purchasing a home more expensive.
The U.S. housing market continues to navigate a challenging environment as elevated mortgage rates, cautious buyers, and slowing home construction create fresh obstacles for an industry that has struggled to regain momentum. While inventory has improved in many markets compared to the past few years, affordability remains the dominant issue, leaving both builders and prospective homeowners searching for signs of relief.
Many prospective homebuyers continue asking the same question: When will mortgage rates finally begin to move lower? While many people look to the Federal Reserve for answers, housing economists say the better indicator is often the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Although the Fed plays an important role in shaping the broader economy, mortgage rates tend to follow movements in long-term Treasury yields much more closely than changes in the federal funds rate.
Investor enthusiasm surrounding the future of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac encountered a reality check this week after investment firm BTIG downgraded both companies to a neutral rating, citing growing uncertainty surrounding their long-awaited exit from government conservatorship. The move reflects increasing concern among analysts that meaningful progress toward privatization may take longer than many investors had anticipated.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has found that an alternative access-to-credit model could approve 27 percent more applicants than the traditional model. CFPB shared highlights from simulations and analyses conducted by Upstart Network Inc., a company that uses alternative data and machine learning in making credit underwriting and pricing decisions.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
While a shortage of housing supply is limiting purchase mortgages, the decline in mortgage rates is helping keep underwriters and processors busy with refinances. According to Fannie Mae’s Economic and Housing Outlook for September, existing home sales and construction spending rose in July by their highest rates since spring 2018.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Low mortgage rates since the end of May have boosted the housing market and Freddie Mac economists expect that trend to continue for the remainder of the year. In its July 2019 Economic and Housing Research Forecast, Freddie Mac revised down its quarterly forecasts for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for this year and next year, predicted a recovery in housing starts, and forecasted an increase in originations.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
What was once a top priority for the Donald Trump administration when he took office may not happen until the end of the President’s potential second term. Last week, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director (FHFA) Mark Calabria told Reuters that it was his “hope” that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would be out of conservatorship by 2024. That is the year Calabria’s term as FHFA director ends.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Mortgage lenders should evaluate how much cash a potential borrower has to make payments more than the size of their down payment, according to research released last week. A JPMorgan Chase Institute report showed that borrowers with at least three months available to pay their mortgages were far less likely to default than other borrowers.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Freddie Mac has launched a mortgage product that enables buyers to finance a home and renovations with a single-close transaction. The CHOICERenovation loan is available for purchases and no cash-out refinancing to eligible lenders nationwide.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Multiple reports in the last week indicate that the Trump administration is close to releasing a plan to end conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Fox Business reported that Wall Street bankers and Trump administration officials have started outlining a stock deal to finance Fannie and Freddie’s recapitalization plan.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Director Mark Calabria told attendees of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual National Secondary Market conference that a privatization plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is in the works. In addition, the agency plans to finalize a housing reform plan that would begin to raise capital for Fannie and Freddie in the beginning of next year.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Housing experts continue to forecast a busy rest of the year for mortgage processors and underwriters. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released forecasts last week indicating that a strong economy, healthy labor market and low mortgage rates will keep the housing market steady for the remainder of 2019.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Last month, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) announced changes to underwriting requirements to mitigate high-risk mortgage applications. The agency has updated its Technology Open to Approved Lenders (TOTAL) mortgage scorecard “to manage the decrease in average borrower credit scores and the excessive risk layering that results when multiple risk factors are present.”
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.