Fannie Mae’s latest outlook suggests that mortgage rates may remain higher for longer than many had anticipated, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and ongoing economic uncertainty. The revised expectations highlight the challenges facing the housing market as borrowers continue to navigate elevated borrowing costs alongside limited housing supply.
Hopes for near-term interest rate cuts are fading as recent inflation data shows renewed signs of persistence, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path forward. While earlier expectations had pointed toward potential easing this year, the latest economic readings suggest policymakers may need to keep borrowing costs elevated longer than anticipated.
Five-year mortgage rates have surged past the 5% threshold as geopolitical tensions tied to a major international conflict continue to ripple through global financial markets. The sharp rise in borrowing costs has created new challenges for homeowners and prospective buyers, underscoring how quickly geopolitical developments can influence domestic housing affordability.
A recent strategy involving mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced a brief decline in mortgage rates, but the improvement proved short-lived as questions about implementation dampened market momentum. The episode underscores how sensitive mortgage pricing is to both policy signals and execution clarity in a housing market already facing affordability strain.
A proposed rule from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is drawing intense concern from housing advocates, public housing authorities, and families living in mixed-status households, who argue that the change could destabilize thousands of families and increase the risk of homelessness. The proposal would tighten eligibility standards for federally assisted housing in a way that critics believe would effectively bar households containing any ineligible members from receiving rental assistance, even if other members qualify.
A new federal rule has been adopted that increases the appraisal threshold for certain residential real estate transaction from $250,000 to $400,000. The rule was first proposed in December 2018 by the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. It goes into effect once it’s been published in the Federal Register.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
A pair of proposed rules of interest to mortgage underwriters and processors were announced last week. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) announced an assessment of the TRID Integrated Disclosure Rule. The bureau is seeking public comment on the rule through January 21, 2020.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Mortgage processors and underwriters who want to better understand their customers may want to check out the 2019 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. The report was released last week by the National Association of Realtors, which produces this yearly report on the demographics, preferences and experiences of buyers and sellers.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae says the housing sector made a positive impact on third quarter economic growth, a trend that should continue for the first part of next year. The GSE’s monthly economic forecast for October said that residential fixed investment, along with consumer spending, are expected to counteract weakness in business investment.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has found that an alternative access-to-credit model could approve 27 percent more applicants than the traditional model. CFPB shared highlights from simulations and analyses conducted by Upstart Network Inc., a company that uses alternative data and machine learning in making credit underwriting and pricing decisions.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
While a shortage of housing supply is limiting purchase mortgages, the decline in mortgage rates is helping keep underwriters and processors busy with refinances. According to Fannie Mae’s Economic and Housing Outlook for September, existing home sales and construction spending rose in July by their highest rates since spring 2018.
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Low mortgage rates since the end of May have boosted the housing market and Freddie Mac economists expect that trend to continue for the remainder of the year. In its July 2019 Economic and Housing Research Forecast, Freddie Mac revised down its quarterly forecasts for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for this year and next year, predicted a recovery in housing starts, and forecasted an increase in originations.
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What was once a top priority for the Donald Trump administration when he took office may not happen until the end of the President’s potential second term. Last week, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director (FHFA) Mark Calabria told Reuters that it was his “hope” that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would be out of conservatorship by 2024. That is the year Calabria’s term as FHFA director ends.
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Mortgage lenders should evaluate how much cash a potential borrower has to make payments more than the size of their down payment, according to research released last week. A JPMorgan Chase Institute report showed that borrowers with at least three months available to pay their mortgages were far less likely to default than other borrowers.
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Freddie Mac has launched a mortgage product that enables buyers to finance a home and renovations with a single-close transaction. The CHOICERenovation loan is available for purchases and no cash-out refinancing to eligible lenders nationwide.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.