Fannie Mae’s latest outlook suggests that mortgage rates may remain higher for longer than many had anticipated, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and ongoing economic uncertainty. The revised expectations highlight the challenges facing the housing market as borrowers continue to navigate elevated borrowing costs alongside limited housing supply.
Hopes for near-term interest rate cuts are fading as recent inflation data shows renewed signs of persistence, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path forward. While earlier expectations had pointed toward potential easing this year, the latest economic readings suggest policymakers may need to keep borrowing costs elevated longer than anticipated.
Five-year mortgage rates have surged past the 5% threshold as geopolitical tensions tied to a major international conflict continue to ripple through global financial markets. The sharp rise in borrowing costs has created new challenges for homeowners and prospective buyers, underscoring how quickly geopolitical developments can influence domestic housing affordability.
A recent strategy involving mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced a brief decline in mortgage rates, but the improvement proved short-lived as questions about implementation dampened market momentum. The episode underscores how sensitive mortgage pricing is to both policy signals and execution clarity in a housing market already facing affordability strain.
A proposed rule from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is drawing intense concern from housing advocates, public housing authorities, and families living in mixed-status households, who argue that the change could destabilize thousands of families and increase the risk of homelessness. The proposal would tighten eligibility standards for federally assisted housing in a way that critics believe would effectively bar households containing any ineligible members from receiving rental assistance, even if other members qualify.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac released quarterly earnings last week that showed the extent of the impact that the COVID-19 pandemic had in a short amount of time. Both GSEs expect the pandemic to negatively affect financial performance for the remainder of the year.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
New data released last week reinforced the strength and potential of the mortgage refinance market. According to Black Knight’s latest Mortgage Monitor report, there were more than 11 million candidates for refinancing as of February 20.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Economic activity during the first month of 2020 buoyed expectations of a strong year in housing and for mortgage processors and underwriters. Fannie Mae’s most recent Economic & Housing Outlook, forecasted a 3.9 percent annual increase in residential fixed investment, following last year’s 0.1 percent contraction.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Although industry experts have forecasted an increase in purchase mortgages in 2020, the dearth of housing inventory for sale may render those predictions a bit too optimistic. Prospective homebuyers looking forward to the upcoming spring season may struggle to find their ideal home. According to Realtor.com's January housing data, the national inventory of homes for sale plummeted nearly 14 percent year-over-year.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
It’s impossible to escape the daily headlines. More infections. Events cancelled. The stock market crumbling. The coronavirus known as COVID-19 has disrupted much of daily life since entering the U.S. The impact will likely grow before the virus runs its course.
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Multiple reports last week indicated that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is looking to change the Ability-to-Repay/Qualified Mortgage (ATR/QM) rule. In a letter sent to members of the Senate Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Consumer Protection, and reported by multiple outlets, CFPB Director Kathy Kraninger wrote that the bureau will propose an alternative to using debt-to-income (DTI) ratio as a factor in qualified mortgages.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sold more than 117,000 non-performing loans (NPLs) with an unpaid principal balance of more than $22 billion since 2014. These and other NPL data were recorded in the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) Enterprise Non-Performing Loan Sales Report released last month.
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According to the latest Fannie Mae Mortgage Lender Sentiment Survey, 44 percent of lenders believe profit margins will remain strong, with another 27 percent predicting they will even rise. That’s less optimistic than the previous quarter, when 53 percent of respondents expected increasing profit margins.
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The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) reported that the capital ratio for its Mutual Mortgage Insurance (MMI) Fund reached its highest level in 12 years. The agency’s 2019 Annual Report to Congress also noted that insured mortgages with extreme risk layering is increasing.
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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has extended temporary thresholds for collecting and reporting data about open-end lines of credit under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA). The rule extends the threshold for another two years, until January 1, 2022.
Opinion-Editorial (Op-Ed) Disclaimer For NAMP® Library Articles: The views and opinions expressed in the NAMP® Library articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect any official NAMP® policy or position. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world application as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information. Assumptions made within the analysis are not reflective of the position of NAMP®. Nothing contained in this article should be considered legal advice.
Written By: Bonnie Wildt
I have said it before and I will say it again and that is, do not believe everything you hear or read for that matter. In this particular instance I am referring to AUS Findings. I have had countless conversations with processors and loan officer who want to know why I am asking for documentation that the AUS findings have clearly stated wasn’t needed or worse, they can’t believe I am turning a loan down that has an Approve/Eligible. So here it is again and pay particular attention to the details because just because you have an Approve/Eligible or Accept doesn’t necessarily mean you have a done deal.